Match

ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Aplerbeck, Dortmund

ASC DortmundSprockhovel

The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Sprockhovel. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel?

ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,621).

ASC Dortmund win75 %
Draw15 %
Sprockhovel win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASC Dortmund have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sprockhovel have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ASC Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Vreden(away)2-5Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Maaslingen(away)1-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Ennepetal(away)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Vreden(home)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 17, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09(away)1-3Oberliga - Westfalen
Sprockhovel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Verl II(away)1-3Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 8, 2026Arminia II(home)2-2Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Hiltrup(away)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 10, 2026Gievenbeck(home)3-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 6, 2026Arminia II(away)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 ASC Dortmund win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sprockhovel win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026ASC Dortmund 8-0 SprockhovelOberliga - Westfalen
Sep 7, 2025Sprockhovel 0-0 ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen
Mar 17, 2024Sprockhovel 3-5 ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen
Sep 17, 2023ASC Dortmund 3-0 SprockhovelOberliga - Westfalen
Apr 28, 2023Sprockhovel 1-2 ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen
Nov 4, 2022ASC Dortmund 2-1 SprockhovelOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sprockhovel score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
ASC Dortmund1.81.5411/158/15
Sprockhovel1.31.9110/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ASC Dortmund sit 16th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 2 matches) and Sprockhovel sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Sprockhovel2011351
16ASC Dortmund2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel?
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Sprockhovel.
Where and when is ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel played?
ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Aplerbeck, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: ASC Dortmund and Sprockhovel

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