ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Aplerbeck, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Sprockhovel. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASC Dortmund have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sprockhovel have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Vreden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 17, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 10, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 6, 2026 | Arminia II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 ASC Dortmund win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sprockhovel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | ASC Dortmund 8-0 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Sprockhovel 0-0 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Sprockhovel 3-5 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 17, 2023 | ASC Dortmund 3-0 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Sprockhovel 1-2 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | ASC Dortmund 2-1 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sprockhovel score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASC Dortmund | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Sprockhovel | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASC Dortmund sit 16th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 2 matches) and Sprockhovel sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Sprockhovel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | ASC Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel?
- The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Sprockhovel.
- Where and when is ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel played?
- ASC Dortmund vs Sprockhovel is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Aplerbeck, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026Arminia IIvsLippstadt 08
- Aug 30, 2026HiltrupvsEintracht Rheine
- Aug 30, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsEnnepetal
- Aug 30, 2026Victoria ClarholzvsTuS Hordel
- Aug 30, 2026VredenvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Aug 30, 2026Westfalia KinderhausvsGievenbeck
- Aug 30, 2026ErkenschwickvsMaaslingen
- Aug 30, 2026Verl IIvsSchermbeck