Wacker Innsbruck vs First Vienna: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
The Footlab model makes Wacker Innsbruck the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for First Vienna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wacker Innsbruck vs First Vienna?
Wacker Innsbruck starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wacker Innsbruck have 14 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; First Vienna have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(home) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Kapfenberg(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC BW Linz(away) | 0-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(home) | 5-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SVG Reichenau(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Admira Wacker(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 2-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 1-4 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 4-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mattersburg SV 2020(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Wacker Innsbruck score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; First Vienna score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wacker Innsbruck | 2.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| First Vienna | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wacker Innsbruck sit 3rd in 2. Liga (9 points from 4 matches) and First Vienna sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wacker Innsbruck | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | First Vienna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wacker Innsbruck vs First Vienna?
- The Footlab model makes Wacker Innsbruck the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for First Vienna.
- Where and when is Wacker Innsbruck vs First Vienna played?
- Wacker Innsbruck vs First Vienna is played on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.