FC BW Linz vs Sturm Graz II: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Hofmann Personal Stadion, Linz
The Footlab AI model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC BW Linz vs Sturm Graz II?
FC BW Linz starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (1,998 vs 1,700).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC BW Linz vs Sturm Graz II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC BW Linz
3-1-4-2- 11R. Vučić
- 33J. Collmann
- 28D. Frieser
- 30A. Tsarenko
- 47D. Kreiker
- 8K. Conté
- 18D. Madritsch
- 15M. Maranda
- 17A. Pašić
- 22D. Riegler
- 26C. Giuliani
Sturm Graz II
4-3-3- 9N. Lang
- 12Jonas Peinhart
- 47Richmond Osazemen Osayantin
- 31B. Pernot
- 11Thomas Gurmann
- 33W. Lazarre
- 5Bastian Tim Maierhofer
- 15E. Roche
- 6G. Haider
- 19Kelechi Nnamdi
- 41E. Lorenz
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC BW Linz have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sturm Graz II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 6-0 | 2. Liga |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 4-1 | 2. Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SKU Amstetten(away) | 1-1 | 2. Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Voitsberg(home) | 2-0 | 2. Liga |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | SV Kapfenberg(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Liefering(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 2-2 | 2. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC BW Linz wins, 2 draws, 0 Sturm Graz II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2023 | FC BW Linz 2-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Sturm Graz II 0-2 FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| Apr 12, 2016 | Sturm Graz II 1-1 FC BW Linz | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Aug 21, 2015 | FC BW Linz 4-1 Sturm Graz II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Mar 13, 2015 | Sturm Graz II 2-4 FC BW Linz | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Aug 15, 2014 | FC BW Linz 0-0 Sturm Graz II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
Last archived meeting: FC BW Linz vs Sturm Graz II on Jun 4, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FC BW Linz score 2.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz II score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC BW Linz | 2.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Sturm Graz II | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC BW Linz sit 1st in 2. Liga (28 points from 11 matches) and Sturm Graz II sit 13th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 13 | Sturm Graz II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 11 |
A question about FC BW Linz vs Sturm Graz II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC BW Linz vs Sturm Graz II?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is FC BW Linz vs Sturm Graz II played?
- FC BW Linz vs Sturm Graz II is played on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Hofmann Personal Stadion, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.