Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Petrosport Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Ghazl El Mehalla. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Wadi Degla starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wadi Degla have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Ghazl El Mehalla have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Masr(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 28, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wadi Degla win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Ghazl El Mehalla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Wadi Degla 3-2 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Wadi Degla 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla | Second League |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 Wadi Degla | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2021 | Ghazl El Mehalla 2-2 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Wadi Degla 0-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wadi Degla score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ghazl El Mehalla score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wadi Degla | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wadi Degla sit 13th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Ghazl El Mehalla sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
- The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Ghazl El Mehalla.
- Where and when is Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla played?
- Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla is played on January 26, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Petrosport Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.