WAFA vs Home Stars: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)West Africa Football Academy Sports Complex, Sogakope
The Footlab model makes WAFA the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Home Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win WAFA vs Home Stars?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate WAFA (1,494) and Home Stars (1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, WAFA have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Home Stars have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Koforidua(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | Attram de Visser(home) | 0-3 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Port City(away) | 2-3 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Na God(home) | 3-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Hakla SC(away) | 1-3 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Okwawu(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Great Olympics(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Golden Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Golden Kicks(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nania(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 WAFA win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Home Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | WAFA 1-0 Home Stars | Division One League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Home Stars 0-0 WAFA | Division One League |
How many goals should we expect?
WAFA score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Home Stars score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAFA | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Home Stars | 0.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
WAFA sit 12th in Division One League (0 points from 1 matches) and Home Stars sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Home Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | WAFA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for WAFA vs Home Stars?
- The Footlab model makes WAFA the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Home Stars.
- Where and when is WAFA vs Home Stars played?
- WAFA vs Home Stars is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at West Africa Football Academy Sports Complex, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Inter AlliesvsGreat Olympics
- Sep 26, 2026New EdubiasevsKing Faisal
- Sep 26, 2026Real TamalevsKalibi SC
- Sep 26, 2026NationsvsPro-Sports Academy
- Sep 26, 2026PAC AcademyvsSoccer Intellectuals
- Sep 26, 2026Sefwi All StarsvsElmina Sharks
- Sep 26, 2026SteadfastvsTamale City
- Sep 26, 2026Ebusua DwarfsvsEbony FC