Wales vs Azerbaijan: result 2-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 5Kick-off on September 6, 2019 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
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What was the result of Wales vs Azerbaijan?
Wales won 2-1 on September 6, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 26′Pavlo PaşayevWales (o.g.)
- 58′M. EmreliAzerbaijan
- 84′G. BaleWales
Official lineup for Wales vs Azerbaijan
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Wales
4-2-3-1- 11G. Bale
- 14C. Roberts
- 10H. Wilson
- 20D. James
- 19T. Lawrence
- 7J. Allen
- 5C. Mepham
- 18E. Ampadu
- 6J. Rodon
- 3N. Taylor
- 1W. Hennessey
Azerbaijan
4-2-3-1- 10M. Emreli
- 11R. Şeydayev
- 13D. Nazarov
- 20R. Almeyda
- 3Şəhriyar Rəhimov
- 18A. Krivotsyuk
- 6B. Mustafazadə
- 2Q. Qarayev
- 5M. Medvedev
- 21Pavlo Paşayev
- 1S. Ağayev
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wales have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Azerbaijan have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2019 | Hungary(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Croatia(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Slovakia(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 20, 2019 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2018 | Albania(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2019 | Slovakia(home) | 1-5 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Hungary(home) | 1-3 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 25, 2019 | Lithuania(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2019 | Croatia(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 20, 2018 | Kosovo(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Wales score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Azerbaijan score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Azerbaijan | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Wales vs Azerbaijan?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy