Wales vs Azerbaijan: result 2-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 5Kick-off on September 6, 2019 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
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What was the result of Wales vs Azerbaijan?
Wales won 2-1 on September 6, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 26′Pavlo PaşayevWales (o.g.)
- 58′M. EmreliAzerbaijan
- 84′G. BaleWales
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wales have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Azerbaijan have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2019 | Hungary(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Croatia(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Slovakia(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 20, 2019 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2018 | Albania(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2019 | Slovakia(home) | 1-5 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Hungary(home) | 1-3 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 25, 2019 | Lithuania(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2019 | Croatia(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 20, 2018 | Kosovo(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Wales score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Azerbaijan score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Azerbaijan | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy