Armenia vs Italy: result 1-3 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2019 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
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What was the result of Armenia vs Italy?
Italy won 1-3 on September 5, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 11′A. KarapetyanArmenia
- 28′A. BelottiItaly
- 77′L. PellegriniItaly
- 80′A. HayrapetyanItaly (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Armenia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Italy have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2019 | Greece(away) | 3-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Liechtenstein(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 26, 2019 | Finland(home) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 19, 2018 | Liechtenstein(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2019 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Greece(away) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 26, 2019 | Liechtenstein(home) | 6-0 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Finland(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 20, 2018 | USA(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Armenia score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Italy | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy