Wales vs Croatia: result 1-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 8Kick-off on October 13, 2019 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
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What was the result of Wales vs Croatia?
Wales and Croatia drew 1-1 on October 13, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 9′N. VlašićCroatia
- 45′G. BaleWales
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wales have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Croatia have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | Slovakia(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Sep 9, 2019 | Belarus(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 6, 2019 | Azerbaijan(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 11, 2019 | Hungary(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Croatia(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | Hungary(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Sep 9, 2019 | Azerbaijan(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Sep 6, 2019 | Slovakia(away) | 4-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 11, 2019 | Tunisia(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Wales(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Wales win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Croatia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2019 | Croatia 2-1 Wales | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Wales score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Croatia | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy