Croatia vs Wales: result 2-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 3Kick-off on June 8, 2019 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Gradski vrt, Osijek
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What was the result of Croatia vs Wales?
Croatia won 2-1 on June 8, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 17′J. LawrenceCroatia (o.g.)
- 48′I. PerišićCroatia
- 77′D. BrooksWales
Official lineup for Croatia vs Wales
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Croatia
4-2-3-1- 9A. Kramarić
- 7J. Brekalo
- 8M. Kovačić
- 11M. Brozović
- 4I. Perišić
- 10L. Modrić
- 3B. Barišić
- 16T. Jedvaj
- 6D. Lovren
- 21D. Vida
- 1D. Livaković
Wales
4-3-3- 11G. Bale
- 14C. Roberts
- 8M. Smith
- 10H. Wilson
- 20D. James
- 23W. Vaulks
- 7J. Allen
- 5C. Mepham
- 15J. Lawrence
- 4B. Davies
- 1W. Hennessey
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Wales have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | Hungary(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 21, 2019 | Azerbaijan(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 18, 2018 | England(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Spain(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2018 | Jordan(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | Slovakia(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 20, 2019 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2018 | Albania(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2018 | Denmark(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 16, 2018 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Wales score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Wales | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
A question about Croatia vs Wales?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy