Wales vs Kazakhstan: result 3-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on March 22, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Full time
What was the result of Wales vs Kazakhstan?
Wales won 3-1 on March 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 9′D. JamesWales
- 32′A. TagybergenKazakhstan (pen.)
- 47′B. DaviesWales
- 90′R. MatondoWales
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wales have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Kazakhstan have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | Iceland(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Türkiye(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Montenegro(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Iceland(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Montenegro(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | Curaçao(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Feb 17, 2025 | North Korea(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Norway(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Austria(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Slovenia(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Wales score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kazakhstan score 0.8 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kazakhstan | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wales sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (16 points from 8 matches) and Kazakhstan sit 4th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy