Poland vs Lithuania: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on March 21, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Śląski, Chorzów
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What was the result of Poland vs Lithuania?
Poland won 1-0 on March 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 81′R. LewandowskiPoland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poland have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lithuania have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Portugal(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Croatia(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Portugal(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Croatia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | Kosovo(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Cyprus(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Romania(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Kosovo(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Romania(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Poland win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lithuania win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2018 | Poland 4-0 Lithuania | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Poland score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lithuania score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Lithuania | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poland sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (17 points from 8 matches) and Lithuania sit 5th (3 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy