Wanderers vs Progreso: result 4-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - 5Kick-off on July 14, 2024 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
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What was the result of Wanderers vs Progreso?
Wanderers won 4-2 on July 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 12′I. LemmoProgreso
- 20′F. FormilianoWanderers
- 25′G. VegaWanderers
- 68′F. FormilianoWanderers
- 83′I. LemmoProgreso
- 90′N. RoyónWanderers
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wanderers have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Progreso have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 23, 2024 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Fenix(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Penarol(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2024 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Penarol(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 9, 2024 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wanderers win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2024 | Wanderers 2-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 15, 2021 | Progreso 3-1 Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Wanderers 2-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Wanderers 1-3 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Progreso 3-0 Wanderers | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Wanderers 0-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Wanderers score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wanderers | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Progreso | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wanderers sit 10th in Primera División (20 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Wanderers | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 39 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 62 | 17 | 19 | 26 | 56 | 78 | 70 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy