Wanderers vs Progreso: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 8Kick-off on March 27, 2025 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Wanderers vs Progreso?
Wanderers and Progreso drew 1-1 on March 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′M. CopelottiProgreso (pen.)
- 78′R. RiveroWanderers (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wanderers have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Progreso have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Miramar(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Danubio(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Cerro Largo(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Juventud(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Miramar(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Boston River(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Danubio(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-5 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | Progreso 0-0 Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Wanderers 4-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| May 4, 2024 | Wanderers 2-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 15, 2021 | Progreso 3-1 Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Wanderers 2-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Wanderers 1-3 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Progreso vs Wanderers on Nov 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Wanderers score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.1 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wanderers | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Progreso | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wanderers sit 10th in Primera División (20 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Wanderers | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 39 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 62 | 17 | 19 | 26 | 56 | 78 | 70 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy