Warriors vs Eastern: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab model makes Warriors the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Eastern. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warriors vs Eastern?
Warriors starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,536).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warriors have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Eastern have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | North District(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Eastern(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kitchee(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Shatin(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Kitchee(away) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | North District(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Warriors win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Eastern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Warriors 0-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Eastern 1-1 Warriors | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Warriors 8-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Warriors 2-1 Eastern | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Eastern 3-4 Warriors | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Eastern 1-0 Warriors | Senior Shield |
How many goals should we expect?
Warriors score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Eastern score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Eastern | 1.7 | 2.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warriors sit 3rd in Premier League (42 points from 22 matches) and Eastern sit 5th (32 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | Eastern | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warriors vs Eastern?
- The Footlab model makes Warriors the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Eastern.
- Where and when is Warriors vs Eastern played?
- Warriors vs Eastern is played on May 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.