Southern District vs North District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Aberdeen Sports Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab model makes North District the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Southern District. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southern District vs North District?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Southern District (1,436) and North District (1,485).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southern District have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; North District have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Eastern District(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Southern District win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 North District win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Southern District 2-2 North District | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Southern District 1-3 North District | FA Cup |
| Nov 2, 2025 | North District 2-1 Southern District | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | North District 2-3 Southern District | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Southern District 4-1 North District | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Southern District 2-0 North District | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Southern District vs North District on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southern District score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; North District score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern District | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| North District | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southern District sit 2nd in Premier League (25 points from 22 matches) and North District sit 4th (32 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Southern District | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 25 |
| 4 | North District | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 39 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southern District vs North District?
- The Footlab model makes North District the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Southern District.
- Where and when is Southern District vs North District played?
- Southern District vs North District is played on May 8, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Aberdeen Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.