Warriors vs Eastern District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab model makes Warriors the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Eastern District. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warriors vs Eastern District?
Warriors is a heavy favourite: 1,695 Elo points against 1,356 — a 339-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warriors have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Eastern District have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | North District(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Eastern(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kitchee(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | North District(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | BC Rangers(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Warriors win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Eastern District win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Eastern District 0-0 Warriors | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Warriors 1-0 Eastern District | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Eastern District vs Warriors on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warriors score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Eastern District score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Eastern District | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warriors sit 3rd in Premier League (42 points from 22 matches) and Eastern District sit 3rd (21 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 42 |
| 3 | Eastern District | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warriors vs Eastern District?
- The Footlab model makes Warriors the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Eastern District.
- Where and when is Warriors vs Eastern District played?
- Warriors vs Eastern District is played on September 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.