Kowloon City vs Eastern District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Sham Shui Po Sports Ground, Kowloon
The Footlab model makes Eastern District the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Kowloon City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kowloon City vs Eastern District?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Kowloon City (1,400) and Eastern District (1,356).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kowloon City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Eastern District have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | North District(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | BC Rangers(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kowloon City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Eastern District win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kowloon City 2-1 Eastern District | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Eastern District 0-1 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Kowloon City 2-1 Eastern District | League Cup |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Kowloon City 2-1 Eastern District | Senior Shield |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Kowloon City 0-0 Eastern District | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Kowloon City 5-2 Eastern District | HKFA 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Kowloon City vs Eastern District on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kowloon City score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eastern District score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kowloon City | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Eastern District | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kowloon City sit 1st in Premier League (28 points from 22 matches) and Eastern District sit 3rd (21 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kowloon City | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 39 | 28 |
| 3 | Eastern District | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kowloon City vs Eastern District?
- The Footlab model makes Eastern District the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Kowloon City.
- Where and when is Kowloon City vs Eastern District played?
- Kowloon City vs Eastern District is played on November 29, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Sham Shui Po Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.