Watford vs Millwall: result 2-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Millwall?
Watford and Millwall drew 2-2 on October 28, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 7′Y. AsprillaWatford
- 12′Z. FlemmingMillwall
- 85′W. HardingMillwall
- 90′M. RajovićWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Millwall have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | Swansea(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Sunderland(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Preston(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Hull City(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Plymouth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Swansea(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Watford win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2022 | Watford 0-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Millwall 3-0 Watford | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Watford 1-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Millwall 0-0 Watford | Championship |
| Jan 29, 2017 | Millwall 1-0 Watford | FA Cup |
| Apr 11, 2015 | Millwall 0-2 Watford | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Millwall | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 7th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy