Watford vs Stoke City: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 20, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Stoke City?
Watford won 1-0 on December 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 74′L. KjerrumgaardWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Stoke City have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Wrexham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Norwich(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Birmingham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Preston(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Swansea(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Ipswich(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Hull City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Charlton(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Watford win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Stoke City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Stoke City 0-0 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Watford 3-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Watford 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Stoke City 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| May 8, 2023 | Watford 2-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Stoke City 0-4 Watford | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 6th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Stoke City sit 21st (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 21 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy