Where and when is Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21 played?

Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21 is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Grosvenor Vale, in the National League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Grosvenor Vale, Ruislip, Middlesex

Wealdstone

Stoke City U21

The Footlab model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21?

Wealdstone starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,750 vs 1,635).

Wealdstone win56 %

Draw21 %

Stoke City U21 win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wealdstone have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Stoke City U21 have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wealdstone
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-1	National League
Aug 18, 2026	Wolves U21(home)	1-3	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Harrogate Town(home)	1-3	National League
Aug 8, 2026	AFC Fylde(away)	2-2	National League
Aug 1, 2026	Slough Town(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

Stoke City U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Brentford U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Scunthorpe(away)	0-4	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Leeds United U21(home)	0-0	Premier League Cup
Jul 21, 2026	Chester(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Tamworth(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Wealdstone score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wealdstone	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	6/15
Stoke City U21	0.9	2.6	3	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21?: The Footlab model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Stoke City U21.
Where and when is Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21 played?: Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21 is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Grosvenor Vale, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.