Welling United vs Chatham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs Chatham Town?
Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,908 vs 1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Chatham Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Welling United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chatham Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Chatham Town 3-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Welling United 0-1 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Welling United 0-1 Chatham Town | FA Cup |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Chatham Town 0-0 Welling United | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Chatham Town vs Welling United on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Chatham Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Chatham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Welling United.
- Where and when is Welling United vs Chatham Town played?
- Welling United vs Chatham Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027LeatherheadvsThree Bridges
- Feb 13, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Feb 13, 2027WhitehawkvsDartford
- Feb 13, 2027AveleyvsDulwich Hamlet
- Feb 13, 2027Brentwood TownvsWhyteleafe
- Feb 13, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsSt Albans City
- Feb 13, 2027RamsgatevsWingate & Finchley
- Feb 13, 2027Cray WanderersvsStanway Rovers