Whyteleafe vs Welling United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Church Road, Whyteleafe, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Whyteleafe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whyteleafe vs Welling United?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Whyteleafe (1,686) and Welling United (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whyteleafe have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lewes(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Southall(away) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Whyteleafe score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whyteleafe | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whyteleafe sit 20th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 20 | Whyteleafe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whyteleafe vs Welling United?
- The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Whyteleafe.
- Where and when is Whyteleafe vs Welling United played?
- Whyteleafe vs Welling United is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Church Road, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027DartfordvsLewes
- Feb 20, 2027St Albans CityvsAveley
- Feb 20, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsBurgess Hill Town
- Feb 20, 2027Three BridgesvsCray Wanderers
- Feb 20, 2027Carshalton AthleticvsRamsgate
- Feb 20, 2027CheshuntvsBrentwood Town
- Feb 20, 2027Wingate & FinchleyvsLeatherhead
- Feb 20, 2027Dulwich HamletvsWhitehawk