Welling United vs Dartford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs Dartford?
Dartford starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Dartford have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Welling United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dartford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford 0-3 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Welling United 0-1 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Dartford 3-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Dartford 1-1 Welling United | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Welling United 0-1 Dartford | National League - South |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Dartford 2-3 Welling United | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dartford vs Welling United on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Dartford sit 5th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Dartford?
- The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Welling United.
- Where and when is Welling United vs Dartford played?
- Welling United vs Dartford is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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