Welling United vs Dulwich Hamlet: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Trophy3rd Round QualifyingKick-off on November 24, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
Full time
What was the result of Welling United vs Dulwich Hamlet?
Welling United and Dulwich Hamlet drew 1-1 on November 24, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Dulwich Hamlet have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Lincoln(home) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Bromley(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Hythe Town(home) | 8-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Concord Rangers(away) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | Harlow Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Waltham Abbey(away) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Mar 7, 2017 | Macclesfield(away) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Macclesfield(home) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
| Feb 7, 2017 | Braintree(home) | 5-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dulwich Hamlet score 2.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Dulwich Hamlet | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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