Aveley vs Welling United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Aveley the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aveley wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Welling United?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Aveley (1,872) and Welling United (1,833).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aveley vs Welling United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aveley
Not enough data to predict the Aveley lineup.
Welling United
Not enough data to predict the Welling United lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Welling United have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ware(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aveley wins, 2 draws, 1 Welling United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Aveley 2-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Welling United 0-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Aveley 1-1 Welling United | National League - South |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Welling United 1-0 Aveley | National League - South |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Welling United 1-3 Aveley | National League - South |
| Dec 4, 2023 | Aveley 2-2 Welling United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Welling United on Jan 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Welling United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 17th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (11 points from 11 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 24 |
| 17 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Aveley vs Welling United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Welling United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aveley the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Welling United.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Welling United played?
- Aveley vs Welling United is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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