Where and when is Aveley vs Welling United played?

Aveley vs Welling United is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Aveley vs Welling United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex

Aveley

Welling United

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Welling United. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aveley vs Welling United?

Aveley starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,769).

Aveley win52 %

Draw22 %

Welling United win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aveley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Three Bridges(away)	5-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Whitehawk(home)	3-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Maldon & Tiptree(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026	Southend(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs

Welling United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dartford(away)	3-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Stanway Rovers(home)	4-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Leatherhead(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Whitehawk(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aveley win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Welling United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 19, 2026	Aveley 2-1 Welling United	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 12, 2025	Welling United 0-1 Aveley	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 29, 2024	Aveley 1-1 Welling United	National League - South
Aug 10, 2024	Welling United 1-0 Aveley	National League - South
Jan 6, 2024	Welling United 1-3 Aveley	National League - South
Dec 4, 2023	Aveley 2-2 Welling United	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Welling United on Jan 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Aveley	2.4	1.7	3	10/15	11/15
Welling United	2.0	1.3	5	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aveley sit 6th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Welling United	4	3	0	1	10	4	9
6	Aveley	4	2	1	1	10	6	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Welling United?: The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Welling United.
Where and when is Aveley vs Welling United played?: Aveley vs Welling United is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.