Wellington Olympic vs Birkenhead United: prediction and stats
National League - NationalChampionship Group - 9Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Wakefield Park 1, Wellington
The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Olympic the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Birkenhead United. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wellington Olympic vs Birkenhead United?
On Elo ratings, Wellington Olympic has 1,948 points and Birkenhead United 1,862.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wellington Olympic vs Birkenhead United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wellington Olympic
Not enough data to predict the Wellington Olympic lineup.
Birkenhead United
Not enough data to predict the Birkenhead United lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 02:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wellington Olympic have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Birkenhead United have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Auckland United(home) | 4-2 | National League - National |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Miramar(away) | 2-0 | National League - National |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eastern Suburbs(home) | 4-0 | National League - National |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Auckland City(away) | 2-2 | National League - National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ferrymead Bays(home) | 1-2 | National League - National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Auckland City(away) | 2-2 | National League - National |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ferrymead Bays(home) | 2-0 | National League - National |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Auckland FC 2(away) | 6-1 | National League - National |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Napier City Rovers(home) | 2-0 | National League - National |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix II(away) | 1-0 | National League - National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Wellington Olympic wins, 0 draws, 1 Birkenhead United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Birkenhead United 2-4 Wellington Olympic | National League - National |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Wellington Olympic 1-2 Birkenhead United | National League - National |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Wellington Olympic 2-0 Birkenhead United | National League - National |
Last archived meeting: Birkenhead United vs Wellington Olympic on Oct 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Wellington Olympic score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Birkenhead United score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Olympic | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Birkenhead United | 2.1 | 1.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wellington Olympic sit 2nd in National League - National (13 points from 6 matches) and Birkenhead United sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wellington Olympic | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Birkenhead United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
A question about Wellington Olympic vs Birkenhead United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wellington Olympic vs Birkenhead United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Olympic the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Birkenhead United.
- Where and when is Wellington Olympic vs Birkenhead United played?
- Wellington Olympic vs Birkenhead United is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Wakefield Park 1, in the National League - National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.