Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Sky Stadium, Wellington
The Footlab model makes Wellington Phoenix the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Western Sydney Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Wellington Phoenix (1,771) and Western Sydney Wanderers (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wellington Phoenix have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Western Sydney Wanderers have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Macarthur(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Melbourne City(away) | 0-2 | A-League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 4-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Cooma Tigers FC(away) | 2-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wellington Phoenix win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Western Sydney Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix 2-2 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 Wellington Phoenix | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Wellington Phoenix 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wellington Phoenix score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wellington Phoenix sit 8th in A-League (33 points from 26 matches) and Western Sydney Wanderers sit 12th (21 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | 33 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 43 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Wellington Phoenix the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Western Sydney Wanderers.
- Where and when is Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers played?
- Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Sky Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.