Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC)McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Perth Glory. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle Jets wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory?
Newcastle Jets starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,692).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 9N. Vergos
- 14M. Burgess
- 28W. Dobson
- 10Z. Clough
- 6Z. Schreiber
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 23D. Wilmering
- 5J. Shaughnessy
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 1J. Delianov
Perth Glory
4-1-4-1- 22A. Taggart
- 13H. Hore
- 16Lucas Scicluna
- 7N. Pennington
- 27W. Freney
- 9J. Kucharski
- 45B. Kaltak
- 24A. Lebib
- 4S. Wootton
- 3S. Sutton
- 33M. Sutton
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle Jets have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Perth Glory have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-7 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-3 | Australia Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Newcastle Jets wins, 1 draw, 2 Perth Glory wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Perth Glory 1-3 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 1-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Perth Glory 0-4 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Perth Glory 2-0 Newcastle Jets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Perth Glory 2-3 Newcastle Jets | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle Jets score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Perth Glory score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Perth Glory | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle Jets sit 1st in A-League (48 points from 26 matches) and Perth Glory sit 10th (31 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 39 | 48 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
A question about Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Perth Glory.
- Where and when is Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory played?
- Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory is played on February 5, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at McDonald Jones Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.