Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Bahardar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Adigrat Stadium, Adigrat
The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Welwalo Adigrat Uni. The most likely score is 0-0. If Bahardar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Bahardar?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Welwalo Adigrat Uni (1,482) and Bahardar (1,563).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Bahardar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
4-3-3- 14S. Haftey
- 18D. Gebru
- 9H. Konkoni
- 10F. Solomon
- 2N. Gebremedhin
- 20M. Mesfin
- 16K. Wondimu
- 23E. Hailemariam
- 27B. Beyene
- 24S. Berhe
- 30J. Mutakubwa
Bahardar
Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welwalo Adigrat Uni have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Bahardar have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Ahli Tripoli(away) | 1-4 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Ahli Tripoli(home) | 0-4 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Hilal Port Sudan(home) | 2-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni wins, 3 draws, 3 Bahardar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Bahardar 0-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-0 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Bahardar 3-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-1 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Bahardar 3-2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Premier League |
| May 26, 2019 | Bahardar 0-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Bahardar | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni sit 17th in Premier League (1 point from 2 matches) and Bahardar sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bahardar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Bahardar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Bahardar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
- Where and when is Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Bahardar played?
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Bahardar is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Adigrat Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Adama KenemavsNegelle Arsi
- Feb 27, 2027Awassa KenemavsSidama Bunna
- Feb 27, 2027Fasil KetemavsHadiya Hosaena
- Feb 27, 2027MekelakeyavsEthiopian Medhin
- Feb 27, 2027Mebrat HaylvsEthiopia Bunna
- Feb 27, 2027Ethiopia Nigd BankvsGamo Chencha
- Feb 27, 2027Sheger KetemavsKedus Giorgis
- Feb 27, 2027Halaba KetemavsWelayta Dicha