Match

Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

MekelakeyaEthiopian Medhin

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for Ethiopian Medhin. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mekelakeya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Mekelakeya (1,589) and Ethiopian Medhin (1,585).

35%34%31%
Mekelakeya winDrawEthiopian Medhin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Ethiopian Medhin

Not enough data to predict the Ethiopian Medhin lineup.

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:21 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ethiopian Medhin have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Sidama Bunna(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 27, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Ethiopian Medhin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 27, 2026Mekelakeya(home)1-3Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)2-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Fasil Ketema(away)0-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mekelakeya wins, 1 draw, 2 Ethiopian Medhin wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Ethiopian Medhin 1-3 MekelakeyaPremier League
Jun 21, 2026Mekelakeya 1-0 Ethiopian MedhinPremier League
Jan 26, 2026Ethiopian Medhin 0-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
Jun 10, 2025Ethiopian Medhin 2-0 MekelakeyaPremier League
Dec 11, 2024Mekelakeya 0-0 Ethiopian MedhinPremier League
Apr 13, 2024Mekelakeya 1-2 Ethiopian MedhinPremier League

Last archived meeting: Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya on Oct 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mekelakeya score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopian Medhin score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mekelakeya0.90.784/154/15
Ethiopian Medhin1.11.148/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mekelakeya sit 2nd in Premier League (10 points from 5 matches) and Ethiopian Medhin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Mekelakeya53115210
6Ethiopian Medhin4211757

A question about Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for Ethiopian Medhin.
Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin played?
Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mekelakeya and Ethiopian Medhin