West Brom vs Derby: result 1-2 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 7, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Full time
What was the result of West Brom vs Derby?
Derby won 1-2 on January 7, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 35′M. PhillipsWest Brom
- 51′D. BentDerby
- 54′T. InceDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Brom have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2017 | Hull City(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2016 | Southampton(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Arsenal(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Manchester United(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2016 | Swansea(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2017 | Norwich(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Dec 31, 2016 | Wigan(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 27, 2016 | Birmingham(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Fulham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2016 | QPR(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
West Brom score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.3 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.3 | 0.6 | 10 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy