Wigan vs Peterborough: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)DW Stadium, Wigan
The Footlab model makes Wigan the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Peterborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigan vs Peterborough?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Wigan (1,774) and Peterborough (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigan have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Peterborough have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | York(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Wigan win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Peterborough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Peterborough 6-1 Wigan | League One |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Wigan 2-0 Peterborough | League One |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Peterborough 1-0 Wigan | League One |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Wigan 3-0 Peterborough | League One |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Peterborough 2-3 Wigan | League One |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Wigan 2-1 Peterborough | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Wigan score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Peterborough | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigan sit 24th in League One (0 points from 2 matches) and Peterborough sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigan vs Peterborough?
- The Footlab model makes Wigan the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Peterborough.
- Where and when is Wigan vs Peterborough played?
- Wigan vs Peterborough is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at DW Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.