AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford United: prediction and stats
League OneMatchday 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oxford United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,430 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford United?
Oxford United starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,614).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Wimbledon
5-3-2- 9J. Stockley
- 23H. Cornick
- 12A. Smith
- 5O. Harrison
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 3S. Seddon
- 6R. Johnson
- 29A. Sasu
- 17A. Yiadom
- 7J. Tilley
- 39J. Bursik
Oxford United
4-2-3-1- 9M. Harris
- 11T. Goodrham
- 23S. Dembélé
- 4Kai Andrews
- 8C. Brannagan
- 20L. Lynch
- 6M. Helik
- 26J. Currie
- 3C. Brown
- 30P. Kioso
- 1J. Cumming
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 10:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Wimbledon have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Oxford United have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Reading(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AFC Wimbledon wins, 1 draw, 2 Oxford United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Oxford United | EFL Trophy |
| Jul 23, 2022 | AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Oxford United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Oxford United 3-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Sep 4, 2021 | AFC Wimbledon 3-1 Oxford United | League One |
| Apr 20, 2021 | AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Oxford United | League One |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Oxford United 3-1 AFC Wimbledon | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford United on Jan 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Oxford United score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Oxford United | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Wimbledon sit 18th in League One (13 points from 13 matches) and Oxford United sit 3rd (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 13 |
A question about AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford United played?
- AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford United is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.