Match

Wilhelmshaven vs Verden 04: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 22Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Jade-Stadion, Wilhelmshaven

WilhelmshavenVerden 04

The Footlab model makes Wilhelmshaven the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Verden 04. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wilhelmshaven vs Verden 04?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Wilhelmshaven (1,818) and Verden 04 (1,734).

Wilhelmshaven win57 %
Draw24 %
Verden 04 win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wilhelmshaven have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Verden 04 have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wilhelmshaven
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Germania Egestorf(away)2-0Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 16, 2026Bersenbrück(home)1-0Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 9, 2026Meppen II(away)2-0Oberliga - Niedersachsen
May 17, 2026Atlas Delmenhorst(home)0-1Oberliga - Niedersachsen
May 13, 2026Wetschen(away)2-2Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Verden 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Drochtersen/Assel II(home)2-1Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 16, 2026Hemmingen(home)2-2Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 9, 2026Vorsfelde(away)0-1Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Jul 18, 2026Werder Bremen(home)2-6Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Germania Egestorf(away)0-2Oberliga - Niedersachsen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Wilhelmshaven win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Verden 04 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 30, 2025Wilhelmshaven 4-0 Verden 04Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 17, 2025Verden 04 0-2 WilhelmshavenOberliga - Niedersachsen
Apr 6, 2025Wilhelmshaven 0-1 Verden 04Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Oct 6, 2024Verden 04 3-3 WilhelmshavenOberliga - Niedersachsen

Last archived meeting: Wilhelmshaven vs Verden 04 on Nov 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Wilhelmshaven score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Verden 04 score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wilhelmshaven1.41.173/156/15
Verden 041.41.438/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wilhelmshaven sit 3rd in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (6 points from 2 matches) and Verden 04 sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Wilhelmshaven2200306
11Verden 042011231

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wilhelmshaven vs Verden 04?
The Footlab model makes Wilhelmshaven the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Verden 04.
Where and when is Wilhelmshaven vs Verden 04 played?
Wilhelmshaven vs Verden 04 is played on March 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Jade-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wilhelmshaven and Verden 04

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