Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21 played?

Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21 is played on January 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on January 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire

Derby County U21

Southampton U21

The Footlab model makes Southampton U21 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21?

Southampton U21 starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,650).

Derby County U21 win29 %

Draw23 %

Southampton U21 win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Southampton U21 have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Derby County U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	FC Halifax Town(away)	2-6	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Hull City U21(home)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Carlisle(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026	Brentford U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026	Reading U21(away)	1-4	Premier League 2 Division One

Southampton U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	West Ham United U21(away)	0-0	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Truro City(away)	1-2	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Blackburn Rovers U21(home)	4-0	Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Sutton Utd(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Maidenhead(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Derby County U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Southampton U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 3, 2025	Southampton U21 4-1 Derby County U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 11, 2025	Derby County U21 0-0 Southampton U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Dec 15, 2023	Southampton U21 2-1 Derby County U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 31, 2023	Derby County U21 1-3 Southampton U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Jan 6, 2023	Southampton U21 3-0 Derby County U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21 on Oct 3, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Derby County U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Derby County U21	1.1	2.3	4	8/15	8/15
Southampton U21	1.6	1.5	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Southampton U21	1	0	1	0	0	0	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21?: The Footlab model makes Southampton U21 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21 played?: Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21 is played on January 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.