Match

Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on January 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire

Derby County U21Southampton U21

The Footlab AI model makes Southampton U21 the favourite at 56%, against 19% for a draw and 25% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,825 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21?

Southampton U21 starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,506).

25%19%56%
Derby County U21 winDrawSouthampton U21 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Derby County U21

4-3-3
  1. 10C. Wilson
  2. 9Z. Marsh
  3. 12J. Davidson
  1. 7C. Smith
  2. 11F. Jones
  3. 8M. Mintus
  1. 2I. Gordon
  2. 4A. Osayande
  3. 5Raymond Offor
  4. 3K. Robinson
  1. 1N. Bilokapić

Southampton U21

4-3-3
  1. 10S. Sillah Dibaga
  2. 9Princewill Ehibhatiomhan
  3. 17L. Bailey
  1. 11H. Gathercole
  2. 7R. Akachukwu
  3. 6A. Daley
  1. 4L. Day
  2. 3C. Anderson
  3. 5J. Sanda
  4. 2Hansel Adjei Afriyie
  1. 1D. Moody

Computed on October 29, 2026 at 01:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Southampton U21 have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Derby County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Norwich City U21(home)3-4Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 19, 2026Birmingham City U21(away)4-0Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 13, 2026Scunthorpe(away)2-2National League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Brentford U21(away)2-4Premier League Cup
Sep 18, 2026Burnley U21(away)1-4Premier League 2 Division One
Southampton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Crystal Palace U21(away)5-2Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 20, 2026Juventus U21(home)1-1Premier League International Cup
Oct 13, 2026Boston United(away)6-5National League Cup
Oct 9, 2026Queens Park Rangers U21(home)5-1Premier League Cup
Sep 18, 2026Wolves U21(away)2-0Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Derby County U21 wins, 1 draw, 4 Southampton U21 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2025Southampton U21 4-1 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 11, 2025Derby County U21 0-0 Southampton U21Premier League 2 Division One
Dec 15, 2023Southampton U21 2-1 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 31, 2023Derby County U21 1-3 Southampton U21Premier League 2 Division One
Jan 6, 2023Southampton U21 3-0 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21 on Oct 3, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Derby County U21 score 1.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton U21 score 2.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Derby County U211.92.9112/1514/15
Southampton U212.61.7312/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Derby County U21 sit 18th in Premier League 2 Division One (7 points from 6 matches) and Southampton U21 sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Southampton U21541012413
18Derby County U21621316167

A question about Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21?
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton U21 the favourite at 56%, against 19% for a draw and 25% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21 played?
Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21 is played on January 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Derby County U21 and Southampton U21

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