Wrexham vs Brighton: result 2-2 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round ReplaysKick-off on January 18, 2012 at 07:15 PM (UTC)STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam
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What was the result of Wrexham vs Brighton?
Wrexham and Brighton drew 2-2 on January 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 23′18167Wrexham
- 77′A. BarnesBrighton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wrexham have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Brighton have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Jan 1, 2012 | AFC Telford United(home) | 4-0 | National League |
| Dec 26, 2011 | AFC Telford United(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Dec 17, 2011 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Hinckley United(home) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | Bristol City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jan 2, 2012 | Southampton(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Dec 31, 2011 | Coventry(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2011 | Reading(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Dec 17, 2011 | Burnley(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Wrexham score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | 1.6 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Brighton | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy