Wrexham vs Derby: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2025 at 11:30 AM (UTC)STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam
Full time
What was the result of Wrexham vs Derby?
Wrexham and Derby drew 1-1 on September 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 59′L. O'BrienWrexham
- 72′B. BreretonDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wrexham have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Reading(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Norwich(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | QPR(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Millwall(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Preston(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Preston(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ipswich(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Burnley(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Wrexham score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | 2.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Derby | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wrexham sit 14th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy