Würzburger FV vs Weiden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 14Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sepp-Endres-Sportanlage, Würzburg
The Footlab model makes Würzburger FV the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Weiden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Würzburger FV vs Weiden?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Würzburger FV (1,770) and Weiden (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Würzburger FV have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Weiden have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nordlingen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Würzburger FV win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Weiden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Würzburger FV 1-2 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Weiden 3-1 Würzburger FV | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Weiden 1-0 Würzburger FV | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Würzburger FV 1-1 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 1, 2023 | Weiden 0-2 Würzburger FV | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Würzburger FV 2-1 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Würzburger FV vs Weiden on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Würzburger FV score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Würzburger FV | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Weiden | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Würzburger FV sit 13th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (37 points from 32 matches) and Weiden sit 6th (50 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Weiden | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 50 |
| 13 | Würzburger FV | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 62 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Würzburger FV vs Weiden?
- The Footlab model makes Würzburger FV the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Weiden.
- Where and when is Würzburger FV vs Weiden played?
- Würzburger FV vs Weiden is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sepp-Endres-Sportanlage, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026ChamvsDJK Bamberg
- Oct 9, 2026KornburgvsIngolstadt II
- Oct 9, 2026NeudrossenfeldvsASV Neumarkt
- Oct 10, 2026Eintracht BambergvsAmmerthal
- Oct 10, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsFortuna Regensburg
- Oct 10, 2026GebenbachvsGroßbardorf
- Oct 10, 2026NordlingenvsBayern Hof
- Oct 10, 2026Jahn Regensburg IIvsStadeln