Kornburg vs Ingolstadt II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 14Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage TSV Kornburg, Nürnberg
The Footlab model makes Kornburg the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Ingolstadt II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kornburg vs Ingolstadt II?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Kornburg (1,767) and Ingolstadt II (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kornburg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ingolstadt II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Weiden(away) | 7-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bayern Hof(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Großbardorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kornburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Ingolstadt II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ingolstadt II 3-1 Kornburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Kornburg 2-1 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Ingolstadt II 3-0 Kornburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Kornburg 5-0 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Kornburg 2-3 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Ingolstadt II 0-1 Kornburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Ingolstadt II vs Kornburg on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kornburg score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kornburg | 1.4 | 2.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kornburg sit 12th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (40 points from 32 matches) and Ingolstadt II sit 7th (48 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
| 12 | Kornburg | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 48 | 49 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kornburg vs Ingolstadt II?
- The Footlab model makes Kornburg the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Ingolstadt II.
- Where and when is Kornburg vs Ingolstadt II played?
- Kornburg vs Ingolstadt II is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage TSV Kornburg, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026ChamvsDJK Bamberg
- Oct 9, 2026NeudrossenfeldvsASV Neumarkt
- Oct 10, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsFortuna Regensburg
- Oct 10, 2026Eintracht BambergvsAmmerthal
- Oct 10, 2026GebenbachvsGroßbardorf
- Oct 10, 2026Würzburger FVvsWeiden
- Oct 10, 2026NordlingenvsBayern Hof
- Oct 10, 2026Jahn Regensburg IIvsStadeln