Xerez Deportivo vs Conil: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 · Matchday 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera
The Footlab AI model makes Xerez Deportivo the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Conil. The most likely score is 1-1. If Xerez Deportivo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xerez Deportivo vs Conil?
On Elo ratings, Xerez Deportivo has 1,796 points and Conil 1,715.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Xerez Deportivo vs Conil
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Xerez Deportivo
Not enough data to predict the Xerez Deportivo lineup.
Conil
Not enough data to predict the Conil lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez Deportivo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Conil have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tomares(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Egabrense(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Betis C(away) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Xerez Deportivo wins, 1 draw, 1 Conil win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2024 | Xerez Deportivo 1-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Conil 0-1 Xerez Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Xerez Deportivo 1-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 9, 2020 | Conil 1-1 Xerez Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Xerez Deportivo 0-1 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Xerez Deportivo vs Conil on May 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Xerez Deportivo score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Conil score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xerez Deportivo | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Conil | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Xerez Deportivo sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (18 points from 10 matches) and Conil sit 12th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Xerez Deportivo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 12 | Conil | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Xerez Deportivo vs Conil?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xerez Deportivo vs Conil?
- The Footlab AI model makes Xerez Deportivo the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Conil.
- Where and when is Xerez Deportivo vs Conil played?
- Xerez Deportivo vs Conil is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.