Conil vs San Roque Lepe: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Jose António Pérez Ureba, Conil de la Frontera
The Footlab model makes Conil the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for San Roque Lepe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conil vs San Roque Lepe?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Conil (1,757) and San Roque Lepe (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conil have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; San Roque Lepe have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Linense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pozoblanco(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castilleja(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ceuta II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Córdoba II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conil(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Conil win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 San Roque Lepe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conil 1-0 San Roque Lepe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | San Roque Lepe 1-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | San Roque Lepe 5-1 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Conil 0-1 San Roque Lepe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 26, 2020 | San Roque Lepe 3-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Conil 1-1 San Roque Lepe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Conil vs San Roque Lepe on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Conil score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; San Roque Lepe score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conil | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| San Roque Lepe | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conil sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (52 points from 34 matches) and San Roque Lepe sit 13th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Conil | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 44 | 52 |
| 13 | San Roque Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conil vs San Roque Lepe?
- The Footlab model makes Conil the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for San Roque Lepe.
- Where and when is Conil vs San Roque Lepe played?
- Conil vs San Roque Lepe is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Jose António Pérez Ureba, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.