Match

Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda: prediction and stats

Botola 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Yacoub El MansourUSM Oujda

The Footlab AI model makes Yacoub El Mansour the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for USM Oujda. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,324 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?

Yacoub El Mansour starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,788 vs 1,665).

54%29%17%
Yacoub El Mansour winDrawUSM Oujda win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Yacoub El Mansour

4-3-3
  1. 2M. Balouk
  2. 21B. Mansouri
  3. 7Z. Fati
  1. 17H. Mrabet
  2. 19M. Ahayaoui
  3. 16Y. Legnibi
  1. 3Y. Marsile
  2. 8N. Azzoubairi
  3. 4M. Nasserallah
  4. 14A. Khouch
  1. 64H. Doughmi

USM Oujda

Not enough data to predict the USM Oujda lineup.

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yacoub El Mansour have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; USM Oujda have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yacoub El Mansour
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Olympique Dcheïra(away)0-1Botola 2
Oct 31, 2026El Massira(home)2-1Botola 2
Oct 24, 2026Wydad Fès(home)2-2Botola 2
Oct 17, 2026Union Sportive Boujaad(away)1-1Botola 2
Oct 11, 2026Riadi Salmi(home)1-0Botola 2
USM Oujda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Union Sportive Boujaad(home)0-0Botola 2
Oct 31, 2026KAC Kenitra(away)1-1Botola 2
Oct 25, 2026Riadi Salmi(home)2-1Botola 2
Oct 18, 2026Wydad Fès(away)1-4Botola 2
Oct 10, 2026Olympique Safi(home)1-1Botola 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Yacoub El Mansour win, 0 draws, 1 USM Oujda win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 20, 2025Yacoub El Mansour 2-1 USM OujdaBotola 2
Dec 7, 2024USM Oujda 1-0 Yacoub El MansourBotola 2

Last archived meeting: Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda on Apr 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Yacoub El Mansour score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; USM Oujda score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yacoub El Mansour1.30.959/157/15
USM Oujda1.01.148/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yacoub El Mansour sit 4th in Botola 2 (14 points from 7 matches) and USM Oujda sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Yacoub El Mansour74219514
6USM Oujda73318812

A question about Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?
The Footlab AI model makes Yacoub El Mansour the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for USM Oujda.
Where and when is Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda played?
Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda is played on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Botola 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Yacoub El Mansour and USM Oujda

Ready to know everything about football?