USM Oujda vs El Massira: prediction and stats
Botola 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda, Oujda
The Footlab AI model makes USM Oujda the favourite at 48%, against 32% for a draw and 20% for El Massira. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,229 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USM Oujda vs El Massira?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate USM Oujda (1,644) and El Massira (1,662).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for USM Oujda vs El Massira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
USM Oujda
Not enough data to predict the USM Oujda lineup.
El Massira
Not enough data to predict the El Massira lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 07:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USM Oujda have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; El Massira have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Wydad Fès(away) | 1-4 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Safi(home) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chabab Mohammédia(away) | 1-0 | Botola 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mouloudia Oujda(home) | 2-1 | Botola 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Chabab Atl. Khenifra(home) | 1-1 | Botola 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | KAC Kenitra(away) | 0-1 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mouloudia Oujda(home) | 2-2 | Botola 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Riadi Salmi(away) | 0-0 | Botola 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Stade Marocain(home) | 2-1 | Botola 2 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | UTS Rabat(away) | 0-3 | Botola Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 USM Oujda wins, 2 draws, 2 El Massira wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | USM Oujda 1-1 El Massira | Botola 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | El Massira 1-0 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
| May 7, 2025 | El Massira 3-1 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | USM Oujda 0-0 El Massira | Botola 2 |
| Jun 15, 2024 | El Massira 1-3 USM Oujda | Botola 2 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | USM Oujda 2-0 El Massira | Botola 2 |
Last archived meeting: USM Oujda vs El Massira on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USM Oujda score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; El Massira score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Oujda | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| El Massira | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USM Oujda sit 6th in Botola 2 (7 points from 4 matches) and El Massira sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | USM Oujda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | El Massira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
A question about USM Oujda vs El Massira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USM Oujda vs El Massira?
- The Footlab AI model makes USM Oujda the favourite at 48%, against 32% for a draw and 20% for El Massira.
- Where and when is USM Oujda vs El Massira played?
- USM Oujda vs El Massira is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda, in the Botola 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026Chabab Atl. KhenifravsOlympique Dcheïra
- Nov 22, 2026Olympique KhouribgavsKAC Kenitra
- Nov 22, 2026Olympique SafivsWydad Fès
- Nov 22, 2026Chabab Ben GuerirvsYacoub El Mansour
- Nov 22, 2026Ittihad KhemissetvsUnion Sportive Boujaad
- Nov 22, 2026Chabab MohammédiavsMouloudia Oujda
- Nov 22, 2026Stade MarocainvsRiadi Salmi