Yadanarbon vs Shan United: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Bahtoo Memorial Stadium, Mandalay
The Footlab AI model makes Shan United the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Yadanarbon. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yadanarbon vs Shan United?
Shan United is a heavy favourite: 1,593 Elo points against 1,224, a 369-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Yadanarbon vs Shan United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Yadanarbon
4-3-3- 8Aung Thu
- 9Paing Yan
- 11Naing Thet
- 16Ko Tun Myo
- 26Yint Tun Ye
- 5Aung Si Thu
- 3Than Win Thein
- 2William Biassi Nyakwe
- 30Myo Aung Nay
- 24Oo Kyaw Thet
- 25Lyan Aung Pyae
Shan United
4-3-3- 10Ko Sa Aung Pyae
- 19Moe Thet Wai
- 24Manh Thar Zwe
- 33Kyaw Min Oo
- 11Ye Yint Aung
- 27M. Sekyi
- 6Kyaw Nanda
- 3Min Thu Ye
- 44Thet Hein Soe
- 66Tun Thu Rein
- 18Zin Phyo Kyaw
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yadanarbon have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Shan United have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Myawady(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Yangon Royals(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | GFA(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Dagon Port(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Yangon United(home) | 2-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hantharwady United(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ezra(home) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Ezra(away) | 2-3 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Myawady(away) | 4-0 | National League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Yangon Royals(away) | 2-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Yadanarbon wins, 1 draw, 5 Shan United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Yadanarbon 0-2 Shan United | National League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Shan United 0-0 Yadanarbon | National League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Shan United 2-0 Yadanarbon | National League |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Yadanarbon 1-5 Shan United | National League |
| Dec 4, 2023 | Yadanarbon 2-4 Shan United | National League |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Shan United 3-2 Yadanarbon | National League |
Last archived meeting: Yadanarbon vs Shan United on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yadanarbon score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Shan United score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yadanarbon | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Shan United | 2.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yadanarbon sit 3rd in National League (7 points from 3 matches) and Shan United sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shan United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Yadanarbon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
A question about Yadanarbon vs Shan United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yadanarbon vs Shan United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shan United the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Yadanarbon.
- Where and when is Yadanarbon vs Shan United played?
- Yadanarbon vs Shan United is played on December 6, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Bahtoo Memorial Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.