Yate Town vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthMatchday 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chertsey Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,999 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Chertsey Town?
Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,648).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Yate Town vs Chertsey Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Yate Town
Not enough data to predict the Yate Town lineup.
Chertsey Town
Not enough data to predict the Chertsey Town lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Chertsey Town have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 4-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Yate Town wins, 3 draws, 0 Chertsey Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town 1-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Chertsey Town 2-2 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Yate Town 0-0 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Yate Town on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern South (18 points from 16 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 5th (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chertsey Town | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 29 |
| 13 | Yate Town | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 18 |
A question about Yate Town vs Chertsey Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Chertsey Town played?
- Yate Town vs Chertsey Town is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027BerkhamstedvsTaunton Town
- Mar 13, 2027Frome TownvsHavant & Wville
- Mar 13, 2027UxbridgevsGosport Borough
- Mar 13, 2027Basingstoke TownvsPoole Town
- Mar 13, 2027Chichester CityvsEvesham United
- Mar 13, 2027SholingvsHanwell Town
- Mar 13, 2027Gloucester CityvsWimborne Town
- Mar 13, 2027Hanworth VillavsBath City