Yate Town vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Chertsey Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Chertsey Town?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,811) and Chertsey Town (1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Yate Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Chertsey Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town 1-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Chertsey Town 2-2 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Yate Town 0-0 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Yate Town on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Chertsey Town.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Chertsey Town played?
- Yate Town vs Chertsey Town is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 13, 2027Frome TownvsHavant & Wville
- Mar 13, 2027UxbridgevsGosport Borough
- Mar 13, 2027Basingstoke TownvsPoole Town
- Mar 13, 2027Chichester CityvsEvesham United
- Mar 13, 2027SholingvsHanwell Town
- Mar 13, 2027Gloucester CityvsWimborne Town
- Mar 13, 2027Hanworth VillavsBath City