Basingstoke Town vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Poole Town?
Poole Town starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Basingstoke Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Poole Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town 0-2 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Basingstoke Town 1-2 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Poole Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Poole Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Basingstoke Town 1-3 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Poole Town 0-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Poole Town played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Poole Town is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027BerkhamstedvsTaunton Town
- Mar 13, 2027Frome TownvsHavant & Wville
- Mar 13, 2027UxbridgevsGosport Borough
- Mar 13, 2027Chichester CityvsEvesham United
- Mar 13, 2027SholingvsHanwell Town
- Mar 13, 2027Yate TownvsChertsey Town
- Mar 13, 2027Gloucester CityvsWimborne Town
- Mar 13, 2027Hanworth VillavsBath City