Yeni Malatyaspor vs Ağrı 1970: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, Malatya
The Footlab model makes Ağrı 1970 the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeni Malatyaspor vs Ağrı 1970?
Ağrı 1970 starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (1,631 vs 1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Malatyaspor have 0 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats; Ağrı 1970 have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(away) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Karaköprü Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Yeni Malatyaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ağrı 1970 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | Yeni Malatyaspor 3-3 Ağrı 1970 | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Yeni Malatyaspor vs Ağrı 1970 on Oct 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ağrı 1970 score 3.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor | 0.6 | 4.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Ağrı 1970 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Ağrı 1970?
- The Footlab model makes Ağrı 1970 the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
- Where and when is Yeni Malatyaspor vs Ağrı 1970 played?
- Yeni Malatyaspor vs Ağrı 1970 is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 6, 2026Karaman FKvsOsmaniyespor
- Dec 6, 2026Karaköprü BelediyesporvsTalasgücü Belediyespor
- Dec 6, 2026Mazıdağı FosfatsporvsYeşilyurt Belediyespor
- Dec 6, 2026Silifke BelediyesporvsAdanaspor
- Dec 6, 2026Niğde BelediyesisporvsDiyarbekirspor
- Dec 6, 2026Adana AdaletgucuvsYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu