Yeoju Sejong vs Gyeongju HNP: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Yeoju Sports Complex, Yeoju
The Footlab model makes Yeoju Sejong the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Gyeongju HNP. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeoju Sejong vs Gyeongju HNP?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Yeoju Sejong (1,621) and Gyeongju HNP (1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeoju Sejong have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gyeongju HNP have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(away) | 2-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gangneung City(away) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 0-1 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yangpyeong(away) | 3-3 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Cheongju(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(away) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Yeoju Sejong win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gyeongju HNP win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP 0-0 Yeoju Sejong | K3 League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Gyeongju HNP 0-1 Yeoju Sejong | K3 League |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Yeoju Sejong 1-0 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Gyeongju HNP 0-2 Yeoju Sejong | K3 League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Yeoju Sejong 1-5 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gyeongju HNP vs Yeoju Sejong on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yeoju Sejong score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gyeongju HNP score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeoju Sejong | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Gyeongju HNP | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yeoju Sejong sit 7th in K3 League (25 points from 19 matches) and Gyeongju HNP sit 8th (23 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Yeoju Sejong | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 7 | Yeoju Sejong | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 8 | Gyeongju HNP | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 23 |
| 10 | Gyeongju HNP | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeoju Sejong vs Gyeongju HNP?
- The Footlab model makes Yeoju Sejong the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Gyeongju HNP.
- Where and when is Yeoju Sejong vs Gyeongju HNP played?
- Yeoju Sejong vs Gyeongju HNP is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Yeoju Sports Complex, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.