Yverdon Sport vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
The Footlab model makes Yverdon Sport the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yverdon Sport vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Yverdon Sport (1,915) and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yverdon Sport have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Terre Sainte(away) | 5-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(home) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Winterthur(away) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Italien(away) | 8-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapperswil(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Aarau(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Yverdon Sport win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0-3 Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Yverdon Sport 0-2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 4-0 Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Yverdon Sport 3-2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| May 11, 2024 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3-1 Yverdon Sport | Super League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Yverdon Sport 3-0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yverdon Sport score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yverdon Sport | 2.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yverdon Sport sit 3rd in Challenge League (8 points from 4 matches) and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yverdon Sport vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
- The Footlab model makes Yverdon Sport the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
- Where and when is Yverdon Sport vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy played?
- Yverdon Sport vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.