Zambia vs Congo: result 4-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
Full time
What was the result of Zambia vs Congo?
Zambia won 4-2 on November 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 5′P. DakaZambia
- 13′S. GanvoulaCongo
- 15′M. BassouaminaCongo
- 43′L. BandaZambia
- 69′F. SakalaZambia
- 90′P. DakaZambia
Official lineup for Zambia vs Congo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Zambia
4-4-2- 10F. Sakala
- 20P. Daka
- 9L. Banda
- 12E. Banda
- 23R. Kabwe
- 22K. Kangwa
- 3Benedict Chepeshi
- 6B. Sakala
- 13S. Sunzu
- 21Dominic Chanda
- 1F. Mwansa
Congo
4-3-3- 3S. Ganvoula
- 11P. Mboungou
- 10M. Bassouamina
- 12A. Makoumbou
- 6F. Dembi
- 7G. Makouta
- 19Emmersón
- 14Y. Andzouana
- 5B. Passi
- 2M. Poaty
- 1W. Ngobo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Congo have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | Uganda(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Egypt(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Comoros(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Lesotho(away) | 1-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 14, 2023 | South Africa(away) | 2-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2023 | Gambia(away) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Mali(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2023 | South Sudan(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 23, 2023 | South Sudan(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jan 20, 2023 | Niger(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Zambia win, 0 draws, 0 Congo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | Zambia 3-1 Congo | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Congo score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Congo | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zambia sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (9 points from 8 matches) and Congo sit 5th (1 point from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zambia | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 5 | Congo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 1 |
A question about Zambia vs Congo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy